Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.23) 
