Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.16) 
