Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cosenza Calcio and Ascoli.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.
| Result |
| Cosenza Calcio | Draw | Ascoli |
32.89% ( 0.25) | 28.83% ( 0.27) | 38.28% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 45.11% ( -0.7) |
| 38.57% ( -0.89) | 61.42% ( 0.89) |
| 18.69% ( -0.67) | 81.31% ( 0.67) |
| 65.42% ( -0.29) | 34.58% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.7% ( -0.31) | 71.3% ( 0.31) |
| 68.95% ( -0.76) | 31.04% ( 0.76) |
