Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Cittadella
37.5% ( -1.06)	28% ( -0.08)	34.5% ( 1.15)

Both teams to score 47.71% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.67% (

0.44)

58.33% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.06% (

0.35)

78.95% (

-0.34)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02% (

-0.42)

29.98% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.91% (

-0.51)

66.09% (

0.51)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.13% (

31.87% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.69% (

1.13)

68.31% (

-1.12)

Score Analysis

Ternana 37.49%

Cittadella 34.5%

Draw 28%

Ternana	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.49%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28%	0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.5%