Serie B | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cittadella and Ascoli.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.
| Result |
| Cittadella | Draw | Ascoli |
38.13% ( -1.54) | 28.34% ( 0.27) | 33.53% ( 1.27) |
| Both teams to score 46.6% ( -0.51) |
| 40.36% ( -0.76) | 59.64% ( 0.76) |
| 20.04% ( -0.58) | 79.97% ( 0.59) |
| 69.75% ( -1.28) | 30.25% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.59% ( -1.56) | 66.42% ( 1.56) |
| 66.8% ( 0.49) | 33.2% ( -0.48) |
