Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 48.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 25.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.04) 
