Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Como had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Cittadella	Draw	Como
44.08% ( 0.17)	27.71% ( 0)	28.21% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 46.44% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.08% (

-0.08)

58.92% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.6% (

-0.06)

79.4% (

0.06)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.42% (

0.05)

26.58% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.21% (

0.07)

61.79% (

-0.06)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.24% (

-0.17)

36.76% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.46% (

-0.17)

73.54% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Cittadella 44.08%

Como 28.21%

Draw 27.7%

Cittadella	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.08%	1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.21%