Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Cittadella
42.75% ( 0.49)	26.48% ( 0.04)	30.77% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 51.31% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.69% (

-0.36)

53.31% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.14% (

-0.3)

74.86% (

0.3)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.29% (

0.09)

24.71% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.74% (

0.12)

59.26% (

-0.12)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15% (

-0.56)

31.85% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.71% (

-0.64)

68.29% (

0.65)

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 42.74%

Cittadella 30.77%

Draw 26.47%

Catanzaro	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 11% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.74%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.77%