Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Como had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.