Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Como had a probability of 11.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
0.55) 
-0.36) 
