Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Como had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.