Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Parma had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
-0.09) 
0.11) 
