Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Como had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Como
48.24% ( -0.07)	25.3% ( 0.01)	26.46% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 52.23% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.18% (

-0.02)

50.82% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.3% (

-0.02)

72.7% (

0.02)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

-0.04)

21.08% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.1% (

-0.06)

53.9% (

0.06)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

0.04)

33.81% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.52% (

0.04)

70.48% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

SPAL 48.23%

Como 26.46%

Draw 25.3%

SPAL	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 48.23%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.46%