Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 23.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Parma	Draw	Ascoli
49.81% ( -0.04)	26.27% ( 0.09)	23.93% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 47.1% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.61% (

-0.36)

56.39% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.6% (

-0.29)

77.4% (

0.29)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.29% (

-0.16)

22.7% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63% (

-0.25)

56.37% (

0.25)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.93% (

-0.24)

39.07% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.21% (

-0.23)

75.78% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Parma 49.8%

Ascoli 23.93%

Draw 26.26%

Parma	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 49.8%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.93%