SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Cittadella | 38 | 2 | 52 |
| 12 | Parma | 38 | 5 | 49 |
| 13 | Reggina | 38 | -18 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Reggina | 38 | -18 | 48 |
| 14 | Como | 38 | -5 | 47 |
| 15 | SPAL | 38 | -8 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 57.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Como had a probability of 19.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Como |
| 57.04% | 23.86% | 19.11% |
| Both teams to score 47.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.66% | 52.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.97% | 74.03% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.83% | 18.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.85% | 49.15% |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.3% | 41.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.82% | 78.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% 2-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.38% Total : 57.04% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 7.58% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 6.63% 1-2 @ 4.94% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.97% Total : 19.11% |
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