SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Como had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Como |
67.93% ( -0.15) | 19.26% ( 0.13) | 12.82% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.02% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.48% ( -0.49) | 44.52% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( -0.48) | 66.89% ( 0.48) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.91% ( -0.18) | 12.09% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.37% ( -0.39) | 37.63% ( 0.4) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.63% ( -0.26) | 45.37% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.77% ( -0.21) | 81.23% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Como |
| 2-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.27% Total : 67.92% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.79% Total : 19.26% | 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.19% Total : 12.82% |
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