SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Parma had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Parma |
37.47% ( 0.1) | 25.4% ( -0.01) | 37.12% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% ( 0.04) | 47.51% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( 0.04) | 69.72% ( -0.04) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( 0.07) | 24.86% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( 0.1) | 59.46% ( -0.1) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( -0.03) | 25.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.28% ( -0.05) | 59.72% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 37.12% |
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