Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
