SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Como had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Venezia |
35.25% ( 2.16) | 26.46% ( -0.18) | 38.29% ( -1.97) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.79% ( 1.09) | 52.21% ( -1.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% ( 0.93) | 73.92% ( -0.93) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( 1.9) | 28.36% ( -1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.91% ( 2.34) | 64.09% ( -2.33) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( -0.58) | 26.58% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% ( -0.77) | 61.8% ( 0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.52)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.29% |
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