Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Venezia | Draw | Ascoli |
37.49% ( -0.35) | 25.84% ( 0.05) | 36.66% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.51% ( -0.22) | 49.48% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.48% ( -0.19) | 71.51% ( 0.19) |
Venezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% ( -0.3) | 25.75% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.31% ( -0.4) | 60.69% ( 0.4) |
Ascoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( 0.07) | 26.22% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% ( 0.1) | 61.32% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Venezia | Draw | Ascoli |
1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.49% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.66% |
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