Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
-0.11) 
0.02) 
