Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.01) 
