Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
