SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Cagliari |
48.07% ( 0.02) | 26.64% ( 0) | 25.29% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.3% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.24% ( -0.02) | 56.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.3% ( -0.01) | 77.7% ( 0.02) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.34% ( -0) | 23.65% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.24% ( -0) | 57.75% ( 0) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( -0.03) | 38.04% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.19% ( -0.03) | 74.8% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.59% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 25.29% |
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