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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 24, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
SL

Cremonese
0 - 1
Sampdoria


Sernicola (67'), Pickel (70'), Meite (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Colley (78')
Colley (7'), Sabiri (30'), Amione (59'), Gabbiadini (74'), Stankovic (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 4-2 Modena
Thursday, October 20 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Cremonese 1-2 Sampdoria

Surely something must give in this scrap between two sides starved of a league win, and the input of a new coach with more progressive principles could swing the result Sampdoria's way. The Blucerchiati can finally get off the mark, as their hosts have the leakiest defence in the division and will leave spaces for some experienced forwards to exploit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 52.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 22.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawSampdoria
52.38% (1.76 1.76) 24.75% (-0.648 -0.65) 22.87% (-1.11 -1.11)
Both teams to score 50.29% (0.684 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39% (1.522 1.52)51.61% (-1.519 -1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.6% (1.307 1.31)73.39% (-1.305 -1.3)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (1.329 1.33)19.68% (-1.326 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.33% (2.117 2.12)51.67% (-2.113 -2.11)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.61% (-0.185 -0.19)37.39% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.83% (-0.183 -0.18)74.17% (0.18600000000001 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 52.38%
    Sampdoria 22.87%
    Draw 24.75%
CremoneseDrawSampdoria
1-0 @ 11.96% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 9.72% (0.209 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 5.27% (0.32 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.29 0.29)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.131 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.211 0.21)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.198 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 52.38%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.24% (-0.489 -0.49)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.259 -0.26)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 22.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cremonese 4-2 Modena
Thursday, October 20 at 2pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Cremonese
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 1-4 Napoli
Sunday, October 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cremonese
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 0-4 Lazio
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-1 Cremonese
Sunday, September 11 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-2 Ascoli (9-8 pen.)
Thursday, October 20 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Roma
Monday, October 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-3 Monza
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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