Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.
