Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
