Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 17.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match.
