Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.
1.57) 
-1.92) 
