Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Reggina	Draw	Cagliari
37.06% ( 0.2)	28.41% ( 0.13)	34.53% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 46.52% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.2% (

-0.47)

59.8% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.92% (

-0.36)

80.08% (

0.36)

Reggina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02% (

-0.12)

30.98% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.72% (

-0.14)

67.28% (

0.14)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.4% (

-0.45)

32.6% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.86% (

-0.51)

69.14% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Reggina 37.06%

Cagliari 34.52%

Draw 28.4%

Reggina	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 37.06%	1-1 @ 13.26% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.4%	0-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.52%