Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Modena had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
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