SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pisa | Draw | Venezia |
49.92% ( 0.4) | 25.04% ( -0.13) | 25.04% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.77% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.19% ( 0.31) | 50.81% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.3% ( 0.27) | 72.7% ( -0.27) |
| Pisa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( 0.29) | 20.37% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.22% ( 0.46) | 52.77% ( -0.46) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% ( -0.06) | 34.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.26% ( -0.06) | 71.74% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pisa | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 25.04% |
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