Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 49.92%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
0.4) 
-0.13) 
