SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Ascoli |
41.03% ( -0.01) | 25.85% ( -0.02) | 33.12% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.01% ( 0.11) | 49.98% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.03% ( 0.1) | 71.96% ( -0.1) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( 0.04) | 24.1% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( 0.06) | 58.39% ( -0.06) |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( 0.07) | 28.6% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( 0.09) | 64.4% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Modena | Draw | Ascoli |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.03% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0)1-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.12% |
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