Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Bari had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.09) 
