Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0.86) 
-0.15) 
