Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 44.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.02) 
