Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
