Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
-1.24) 
0.33) 
