Neither team can be described as particularly attack-minded this season, as both struggle to create scoring chances in the attacking third, therefore a low-scoring game is expected on Tuesday.
Salernitana have a psychological advantage due to recent victories against Sampdoria, but neither team go into this match as clear favourites.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
