Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
-0.48) 
0.62) 
