SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Reggina |
44.44% ( -0.05) | 27.56% ( -0.1) | 28% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 46.72% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.51% ( 0.41) | 58.48% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.93% ( 0.32) | 79.07% ( -0.32) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( 0.16) | 26.19% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.71% ( 0.22) | 61.28% ( -0.22) |
| Reggina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.31% ( 0.35) | 36.69% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.52% ( 0.35) | 73.48% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Reggina |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.06% Total : 44.43% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.84% Total : 28% |
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