Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.15) 
