Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bari | Draw | Cagliari |
46.33% ( 0.1) | 26.45% ( -0.04) | 27.23% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 49.38% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.17% ( 0.1) | 54.83% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.87% ( 0.08) | 76.13% ( -0.08) |
Bari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( 0.09) | 23.63% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.27% ( 0.13) | 57.73% ( -0.13) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.66% ( 0) | 35.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.9% ( 0) | 72.1% |
Score Analysis |
Bari | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 12.04% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.23% |
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