Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
-0.37) 
0.11) 
