Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.

Result
Reggina	Draw	Ternana
44.47% ( -0.04)	27.32% ( -0.03)	28.2% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 47.51% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.45% (

0.13)

57.55% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.67% (

0.1)

78.33% (

-0.1)

Reggina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25% (

0.03)

25.75% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32% (

0.05)

60.68% (

-0.05)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.98% (

0.12)

36.02% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.2% (

0.12)

72.8% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Reggina 44.47%

Ternana 28.2%

Draw 27.31%

Reggina	Draw	Ternana
1-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.17% Total : 44.47%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 28.2%