Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Reggina in this match.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Reggina
33.24% ( 0.57)	29.33% ( 0.28)	37.43% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 43.8% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.94% (

-0.84)

63.06% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.49% (

-0.61)

82.51% (

0.61)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.79% (

-0.04)

35.2% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.04% (

-0.05)

71.96% (

0.05)

Reggina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59% (

-0.95)

32.41% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08% (

-1.09)

68.92% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 33.24%

Reggina 37.42%

Draw 29.32%

Ascoli	Draw	Reggina
1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.13% Total : 33.24%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.32%	0-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.42%