Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
-0) 
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