Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Cosenza Calcio
53.15% ( 0.19)	25.46% ( -0.08)	21.39% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 46.46% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.26% (

0.16)

55.73% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.13% (

0.13)

76.87% (

-0.13)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.99% (

0.14)

21% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.22% (

0.23)

53.78% (

-0.23)

Cosenza Calcio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.81% (

-0.03)

41.19% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.27% (

-0.03)

77.72% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

SPAL 53.13%

Cosenza Calcio 21.39%

Draw 25.46%

SPAL	Draw	Cosenza Calcio
1-0 @ 13.49% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.13%	1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.2% Total : 21.39%