Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
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