SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 57.39%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 21.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Celje in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Maribor |
57.39% ( -0.24) | 21.28% ( 0.02) | 21.32% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.6% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.73% ( 0.24) | 38.27% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.45% ( 0.25) | 60.55% ( -0.26) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.82% ( 0.01) | 13.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.11% ( 0.01) | 39.89% ( -0.01) |
| Maribor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.65% ( 0.35) | 31.35% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.29% ( 0.4) | 67.71% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celje | Draw | Maribor |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.09)1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.69% Total : 57.39% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 21.32% |
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