Hatayspor and Kasimpasa were a tad unlucky to have come away empty-handed last time out, and there will be optimism on both sides heading into this one. We just about fancy the hosts to narrowly edge out their visitors in what should be an open and end-to-end contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Hatayspor	Draw	Kasimpasa
42.36% ( -0.05)	25.35% ( -0)	32.29% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.57% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.92% (

0.04)

48.08% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.76% (

0.04)

70.24% (

-0.04)

Hatayspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.39% (

-0)

22.61% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.78% (

-0.01)

56.22% (

0.01)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.8% (

0.06)

28.2% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.11% (

0.07)

63.89% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Hatayspor 42.36%

Kasimpasa 32.29%

Draw 25.34%

Hatayspor	Draw	Kasimpasa
1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.36%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.29%