SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 9.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 3-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Hatayspor |
73.47% ( 0.4) | 16.56% ( -0.21) | 9.96% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60% ( 0.41) | 40% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.63% ( 0.42) | 62.36% ( -0.43) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.57% ( 0.2) | 9.43% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.3% ( 0.47) | 31.69% ( -0.48) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.47% ( -0.1) | 47.52% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.12% ( -0.08) | 82.88% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 2-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.64% Total : 73.47% | 1-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.75% Total : 16.56% | 0-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 9.96% |
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